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Anticipation is Power as Markets Shift
As the rosy-glow of hot-hot real estate markets noticeably fades, how
many Canadians who bought property during this fervour are asking
themselves, "What have I gotten myself into?"
Was there time
for clear, deliberate thinking in the heat of multiple offers, flash
sell-outs of new condominiums and the intense "now-or-never" tempo that
enticed even the marginally financially-able to "buy big?" Amid current
media speculation on hard and soft landings for real estate, concern
and fear is a discernible undercurrent. But do we really understand
what we're nervous about? Identify specific real estate vulnerability
and you'll keep media reports in perspective and stay ahead of
calamity.
Where does your
financial vulnerability lie? We may not like to think about bad
outcomings, but we should know at which levels and for which changes
our real estate ownership is at risk:
- General economic downturn.
- Increased interest rates.
- Market-driven decreases in property value.
- Climbing monthly condominium fees and reserve fund deficiencies.
- Rising property taxes and local assessments.
- Escalating energy costs.
A full-scale economic crash
or depression is probably not on the horizon for Canada, but
globalization, for all its positive effects, has also made us
vulnerable to repercussions from economic downturns outside our
borders. This "who knows for sure" uncertainty is best counterbalanced
by the knowledge that you have the flexibility associated with being on
solid financial ground.
Historically-low
interest rates fueled past activity and promise to cushion market
shifts in the future, but how much of an increase is too much for your
situation? Vulnerability to interest rate increases arises at renewal
time for fixed rate mortgages. Paying off the principal, or
original amount borrowed, is a powerful strategy for counteracting
renewal at a higher rate. Check with the lender (if you didn't ask for
specifics before you signed on) and find out how often and by how much
you may pay off principal. Reduce the balance by a few hundred or
thousand and you may save many times that in interest charges over the
life of the mortgage. At renewal time, the decrease in mortgage balance
may offset any rate increase, keeping your payments the same or even
lowering them. Playing around with an online mortgage calculator will
also reveal that shortening the amortization period, even by a year or
two, to the largest payment level you can safely afford, will reduce
the overall amount you pay.
Variable-rate
mortgages take advantage of declining interest rates, but can expose
borrowers to risk when rates increase. To reduce uncertainty, plan
ahead to determine your bail-out level, in view of mortgage terms and
fees charged for locking in your rate.
Real estate
markets have shown such steady growth over the last decade that, on the
whole, there should be room for slippage before wide-spread problems
arise. If you bought at a price peak or through multiple-offer bidding,
you may not recoup the full purchase cost until the local market
recycles to that level. To increase flexibility in selecting an earlier
sale time, concentrate on property improvements that do not require
large cash outlays, but that typically increase saleability and
property value like landscaping.
Media reports of
declining real estate prices (read "property values") may create a
false impression of complete downturn. Many neighbourhoods, regions and
types of property like waterfront continue to hold their own. There are
always locations that remain highly desirable. This patchwork value
response reflects the local nature of real estate markets and makes
blanket statements about the real estate market merely unsettling generalizations.
Stay in tune with
your local real estate market by tapping into the knowledge pool
represented by committed real estate salespersons and brokerages. You
may decide to monitor the market by taking regular advantage of the
free market evaluations real estate professionals offer.
Condominium
owners face the additional challenge of living with the financial
repercussions of property management decisions make by others: the
condominium board, contracted property managers and other owners.
Although many buyers are attracted to this style of ownership by the
advertised "lock the door and go" freedom, an absentee mentality may
place the initial investment and monthly affordability of the unit at
risk.
Effective
condominium management protects and improves property value through
judicious, cost-effective maintenance and anticipation of major
repairs. Poor management means eroded value, unnecessary costs and big
bills when roof and other major repairs are not covered by reserve
funds. The difference between effective and poor management is largely
the degree of involvement and commitment of the condominium owners.
Rising property
taxes and energy costs have become expected annual pressures. Attention
to detail can help reduce energy costs, but taxes are the big
challenge. Provincial and municipal politicians who feel directly
accountable to their vocal and involved constituents (that's you)
should respond to demand for revisions to out-dated real estate
taxation systems. Ontario's computerized market-value system has been
formally recognized as an unfair financial burden, but only time and
loud insistence from taxpayers will set the system right.
Don't just worry.
Seek out accurate information and knowledgeable professionals to learn
the facts and create effective strategies. Peace of mind lies in
reducing financial vulnerability before any specific need arises -- and
that includes attacking credit card debt, too. Anticipation is power.
Written by PJ Wade
Wondering What Your Home Is Worth? -- Let me show you.
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